May 22, 2020
University of Texas COVID-19 forecasting model
The University of Texas COVID-19 model builds on the IHME model by adding real-time daily social-distancing data.[1]
The UT model also differs from the IHME model by using only US data, instead of assuming that the epidemic in the US will follow the same patterns seen in other countries. And it attempts to improve on the verifiably-wrong IHME model’s uncertainty calculations.
References
- 1. Woody S, Tec M, Dahan M, et al. Projections for first-wave COVID-19 deaths across the US using social-distancing measures derived from mobile phones. The University of Texas at Austin COVID-19 Modeling Consortium; 23-April-2020 link; DOI: 10.1101/2020.04.16.20068163 (Accessed 2020-05-12 16:12)