Rebekah Jones managed the Florida COVID-19 dashboard until she tried to add a feature to show which counties comply with the reopening criteria. Now you can see what got her fired.
Experts estimate that 81% of the population would be infected if the virus spreads uncontrolled. Based on how many deaths we have seen so far, how many people would die as we reach that point?
A model aimed at local forecasts projects a rapid spread of coronavirus in Miami-Dade and Broward counties, based on mobility, population density, age, insurance status, smoking prevalence, and weather.
Miami-Dade County started to give up on social distancing even before it started reopening. And South Florida currently has one of the lowest success rates of anywhere in the US, according to a company that’s analyzing location data to determine how many contacts each person has.
Don’t treat the center line of the IHME forecast charts as a precise prediction, any more than you would assume that a hurricane will follow the center line on the NHC hurricane forecast cone images. The forecast is a wide range, not a specific number.
It’s hard to visualize the cost that COVID-19 has already had. The designers of the Vietnam Veterans Memorial designed it partly as a tool for visualizing the same number of people.
The widely-cited IHME model does not forecast that the COVID-19 epidemic will peak
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Sources of data for COVID-19 analytics.
One of the most widely influential COVID-19 forecasting models has also been one of the most misinterpreted.
University of Texas COVID-19 model builds on the IHME model by adding real-time daily social-distancing data in order to project deaths from the first wave.
Learn about the assumptions, methods, strengths and weaknesses of the computer forecasting models that have been making headlines every day.
It seems like an attractive idea, but just letting the virus spread to the entire population is not an option because it would result in an unprecedented humanitarian disaster.
Weighing the risk of dying if you're infected is important if you're considering returning to work. Especially if your job involves touching people. So then, what is that risk?
